Oscar 2017 Predictions (Updated Results)

2016 been a phenomenal year for movies and with the Oscars right around the corner it’s for me to list out my predictions for the prestigious awards ceremony.

Best Picture

It’s still a mystery why the Oscars couldn’t just nominate 10 movies instead of 9 as there are more movies that are at least worth the nomination. However the list of nominees are still deserving of their nomination.

Nominees

movies

Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester By The Sea
Moonlight

Prediction: Moonlight

Moonlight is universally loved by everyone including critics and casual movie goers and upon winning the Golden Globe, it is currently the strongest contender to win the Oscar.

Winner: Moonlight


Actor in a Leading Role

Nominees

best-actor

Casey Affleck: Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield: Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling: La La Land
Viggo Mortensen: Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington: Fences

Prediction: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

With Denzel having won already 2 Oscars, it’s highly unlikely that they will give this to him. As for Andrew Garfield this is his first nomination and as much as I’d like him to win on his first nomination, I don’t think his role in Hacksaw Ridge is worthy for the award. It boils down to Viggo Mortensen, Casey Affleck and Ryan Gosling. And having seen Manchester by the Sea, it’s only right that Casey Affleck wins this award.

Winner: Casey Affleck


Actress in a Leading Role

Nominees

best-actress

Isabelle Huppert: Elle
Ruth Negga: Loving
Natalie Portman: Jackie
Emma Stone: La La Land
Meryl Streep: Florence Foster Jenkins

Prediction: Natalie Portman (Jackie)

Another great list of nominations though Amy Adams not getting a nomination from either Arrival or Nocturnal Animal is surprising. Meryl Streep getting another nomination every time she makes a film is starting to be Oscar meta. Happy with Isabelle Huppert getting a nomination for Elle but it boils down to Emma Stone and Natalie Portman and as for Ruth Negga, it’s her first nomination so it’s unlikely she’ll win.

Winner: Emma Stone


Actor in a Supporting Role

Nominees

supporting-role

Mahershala Ali: Moonlight
Jeff Bridges: Hell or High Water
Lucas Hedges: Manchester by the Sea
Dev Patel: Lion
Michael Shannon: Nocturnal Animals

Prediction: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)

In quite possibly the toughest category they have this year, best actor in a supporting role is stacked with great performances. Quite disappointed that Aaron Taylor Johnson didn’t get a nomination for his role in Nocturnal Animals but the same can we said with other actors. As for the winner, Mahershala Ali got this Oscar in the bag.

Winner: Mahershala Ali


Actress in a Supporting Role

Nominees

actress-in-supporting-role

Viola Davis: Fences
Naomi Harris: Moonlight
Nicole Kidman: Lion
Octavia Spencer: Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams: Manchester by the Sea

Prediction: Naomie Harris (Moonlight)

Another great list of nominees for this category, being really impressed with Naomi Harris’ in her performance in Moonlight, I’m rooting for her to win, however with Michelle Williams gaining her fourth nomination, it might be between the two.

Winner: Viola Davis


Animated Feature Film

animated-feature

Nominees

Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
My Life as a Zucchini
The Red Turtle
Zootopia

Prediction: Zootopia

Though quite disappointed that Makoto Shinkai’s Your Name isn’t nominated this is also good list, very happy with Kubo being nominated but Zootopia has this Oscar in the bag.

Winner: Zootopia


Cinematography

Nominees

cinematography

Arrival
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight
Silence

Prediction: La La Land

Very happy with the nominations on this category as all films nominated are spectacular when it comes to the cinematography. However La La Land is one of the beautifully shot film of the year and therefore I have no doubt that it will win the Oscar for best cinematography.

Winner: La La Land


Directing

Nominees

directing

Dennis Villenueve: Arrival
Mel Gibson: Hacksaw Ridge
Damien Chazelle: La La Land
Kenneth Lonergan: Manchester By The Sea
Barry Jenkins: Moonlight

Prediction: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)

This is a no-brainer, with the increased popularity of La La Land, and the incredible feat that Damien Chazelle pulled with La La Land. It would be surprising if he doesn’t win the Oscar.

Winner: Damien Chazelle


Adapted Screenplay

Nominees

adapted-screenplay

Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

Prediction: Arrival

Winner: Moonlight


Original Screenplay

Nominees

original-screenplay

Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea
20th Century Women

Prediction:La La Land

Winner: Manchester by the Sea

 

And there you go, my prediction for this year’s Oscars, overall the nominations were great, with La La Land being nominated for 14 Oscars, it would be interesting to see which categories will it win. There are plenty of first time nominations, from Andrew Garfield, Dev Patel, Naomi Harris and Mahershala Ali. By the looks of it the Academy managed to suppress the controversy that surrounded them last year. That said, the Oscars should still be a fun watch, not a fan of Kimmel hosting but hey at least we got a great set of nominations.

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Oscar Thoughts and Predictions 2016 (winners updated)

Alright the Oscar Nominations just came out recently, here are my thoughts and predictions on this last year’s nominees. I will list down which one should have been nominated which ones maybe don’t belong and of course my predictions.

Note: This is purely my opinion and it’s not an official list of anything. I will only have predictions on categories I’m familiar with.

Writing Original Screenplay

Nominees

Bridge of Spies.PNG
Bridge of Spies

Trailer

ex machina.PNG
Ex Machina

Trailer

Inside Out
Inside Out

Trailer

Spotlight
Spotlight

Trailer

Straight Outta Compton
Straight Outta Compton 

Trailer

Prediction: Ex Machina

This is a strong collection of nominees, specially for this category. Personally, I would be happy if any of these movie won, however my least favored choice would be Bridge of Spies, mainly because all the four movies gave me an engaging movie to watch where I cared for the main protagonists, Bridge of Spies, not so much. However I do think the strongest contender is Ex Machina, Alex Garland did an exceptional job with the concept of Artificial Intelligence and also gave Oscaar Isaac and Alicia Vikander strong dialogues to deliver.

What was Snubbed: The Hateful Eight – Quentin Tarantino

A usual shoe in for this category, surprisingly Quentin Tarantino’s The Hateful Eight didn’t get a nomination.

Winner: Spotlight


Writing – Adapted Screenplay

Nominees

Brooklyn
Brooklyn

Trailer

Carol
Carol

Trailer

Room
Room

Trailer

The Big Short
The Big Short

Trailer

The Martian
The Martian

Trailer

Prediction: The Martian

Now I haven’t read most of the books that these films were based off, except for The Martian. However I do feel that Drew Goddard’s adaptation of Andy Weir’s book was close to the book and the minor changes worked for the film itself.

What was Snubbed: Steve Jobs – Aaron Sorkin

Aaron Sorkin won the best screenplay at the Golden Globe, but he’s not even nominated here which is a big surprise as Steve Jobs was a strongly written film, from pacing to the dialogues.

Winner: The Big Short


Visual Effects

Nominees

ex machina.PNG
Ex Machina

Trailer

Mad Max
Mad Max: Fury Road

Trailer

Star Wars
Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

Trailer

The Martian
The Martian

Trailer

The Revenant
The Revenant

Trailer

Prediction: Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens

I personally think it would come down between Star Wars and Mad Max, however seeing as Mad Max is nominated for Best Picture and Star Wars isn’t, makes me believe that they will give this award to Star Wars.

What Was Snubbed

There has been a lot of Blockbuster movies in 2015, to say a few, Jurassic World deserved a nomination event the underwhelming Avengers: Age of Ultron deserved a nomination as well.

Winner: Ex Machina


Directing

Nominees

Mad Max
George Miller

Trailer

Room
Lenny Abrahamson

Trailer

Spotlight
Tom McCarthy

Trailer

The Big Short
Adam McKay

Trailer

The Revenant
Alejandro G. Inarritu

Trailer

Prediction: Alejandro G. Inarritu

Again strong nominees, but as I posted on my Golden Globe predictions, Alejandro G. Inarritu, will win this for the ordeals him and his crew that had to face while filming The Revenant.

Who was Snubbed

Once again Quentin Tarantino’s name isn’t in there and also F. Gary Gray for Straight Outta Compton should have been nominated. Lastly Ridley Scott for The Martian should also have been nominated. If I were to replace one from the nominees, it would be Adam McKay.

Winner: Alejandro G. Inarritu


Actress in a Supporting Role

Nominees

Alicia Vikander
Alicia Vikander

The Danish Girl

Jennifer Jason Leigh
Jennifer Jason Leigh

The Hateful Eight

Kate Winslet
Kate Winslet

Steve Jobs

Rachel McAdams
Rachel McAdams

Spotlight

Rooney Mara
Rooney Mara

Carol

Prediction: Jennifer Jason Leigh

Kate Winslet won the Globe in a shocking manner, however I’m still going to bet on Jennifer Jason Leigh to win the Oscar on this category for her work on The Hateful Eight. I am happy to see Rachel McAdams in there for Spotlight though Alicia Vikander was more of a main actress in her role on The Danish Girl.

Winner: Alicia Vikander


Actor in a Supporting Role

Nominees

Christian Bale
Christian Bale

The Big Short

Mark Ruffalo
Mark Ruffalo

Spotlight

Mark Rylance
Mark Rylance

Bridge of Spies

Sylvester Stallone
Sylvester Stallone

Creed

Tom Hardy.PNG
Tom Hardy

The Revenant

Prediction: Sylvester Stallone

Seeing as he won the Globe for the same role, I don’t see anyone from these nominees to halt his momentum to win the Oscar.

Who was Snubbed

There has been a lot of great supporting actors on several movies, I personally would have preferred to have Steve Carell over Christian Bale for The Big Short. But no nomination for Idris Elba for Beasts of No Nation, same goes for O’Shae Jackson Jr for Straight Outta Compton saddens me. Now Mark Ruffalo was great on Spotlight but I don’t think he should have been nominated.

Winner: Mark Rylance


Actress in a Leading Role

Nominees

Brie Larson
Brie Larson

Room

Cate Blanchett
Cate Blanchett

Carol

Charlotte Rampling
Charlotte Rampling

45 Years

Jennifer Lawrence
Jennifer Lawrence

Joy

Saoirse Ronan
Saoirse Ronan

Brooklyn

Prediction: Brie Larson

Same reasoning as Sylvester Stallone, she won the Globe for best actress drama and I don’t see anyone beating her for the Oscar. Cate Blanchett might come a close second and I would be happy just as well. Though Charlotte Rampling might win in a surprising fashion.

Who was Snubbed

Alicia Vikander who really should be in this category or at least her role as the android robot from Ex Machina should’ve given her a nomination.

Winner: Brie Larson


Actor in a Leading Role

Nominees

Bryan Cranston
Bryan Cranston

Trumbo

Eddie Redmayne
Eddie Redmayne

The Danish Girl

Leonardo DiCaprio
Leonardo DiCaprio

The Revenant

Matt Damon
Matt Damon

The Martian

Michael Fassbender
Michael Fassbender

Steve Jobs

Prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio

I firmly believe it’s his time to win the coveted Oscar, I can’t see anyone in the nominees that will take it from him otherwise. If anyone comes close it would be Eddie Redmayne, though seeing as he won last year, him winning twice would be a long shot.

Who was Snubbed

Michael B Jordan from Creed, should have been given a nomination, in place of Bryan Cranston, though I’m glad Bryan Cranston is getting award consideration roles out of TV. Surprisingly no Will Smith for Concussion, which I thought would be given a nomination as well.

Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio


Animated Feature Film

Nominees

Inside Out
Inside Out

Trailer

Anomalisa
Anomalisa

Trailer

Boy and The World
Boy and The World

Trailer

Shaun the Sheep
Shaun The Sheep

Trailer

When Marnie Was There
When Marnie Was There

Trailer

Prediction: Inside Out

Inside Out is easily the strongest contender here, though Anomalisa isn’t far behind, though I would’nt be surprised if Boy and The World won, as the movie itself had some truly unique animated visuals.

What was Snubbed

One can argue that The Peanuts Movie deserved a nomination and I agree, I personally would take The Peanuts Movie over Shaun The Sheep.

Winner: Inside Out


Best Picture

Nominees

Bridge of Spies.PNG
Bridge of Spies

Trailer

Brooklyn
Brooklyn

Trailer

Mad Max
Mad Max: Fury Road

Trailer

Room
Room

Trailer

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Big Short
The Big Short

Trailer

The Martian
The Martian

Trailer

The Revenant
The Revenant

Trailer

Spotlight
Spotlight

Trailer

Prediction: Spotlight

The Revenant may have won the Globe for best picture drama, however I still think that Spotlight has a strong chance of winning the Oscar for this category. The realistic atmosphere brought by the director as well as the actors/actresses makes this an unforgettable film. Not to mention the disturbing theme of the whole film takes this movie up a notch compared to the rest of the nominees.

Who was Snubbed

One of the biggest film of 2015 is Star Wars and it’s odd to see that it wasn’t nominated. Another film that should have been nominated is Straight Outta Compton, acting wise it wasn’t the strongest however it is a fascinating film nonetheless. Two more big names that aren’t nominated are Carol and The Hateful Eight which I would have preferred over Brooklyn and Bridge of Spies.

Winner: Spotlight


So there you go, with my predictions and thoughts on some of the nominations. I can easily see the controversy coming back from the previous Academy Award where the nominations lacked diversity and who can’t blame them, the nominations did lack diversity and it is a disappointing look on these award shows. Though with Chris Rock hosting, he will have a ball pointing out the problem with the nominations.

Stay tuned on the day as this blog will be updated with the winners and to check whether or not I got my predictions right.

Oscars show on Sunday, Feb 28, 2016